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    UBS House View Financial market trends and their impact: The paradox of historical knowledge

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Market overview

Market Overview Table
Symbol Last Time Trading Center
CAC 40 5230.71 [Paris]
DAX 12569.87 [Frankfurt]
Dow Jones 21640.75 [New York]
EURO STOXX 3528.54 [Zurich]
Hang Seng 26740.21 [Hong Kong]
NASDAQ 100 Index 5916.16217 [New York]
SMI 9075 [Zurich]
DJ Stoxx 50 3177.02 [Zurich]

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Analysis and commentary

Analysis and commentary

UBS House View Monthly

22 June 2017: The paradox of historical knowledge

– Forecasting the future appears to be increasingly difficult, despite the growing volume of data and rising connectivity. More than 80% of our clients believe now is the most unpredictable period in history.

– We believe favorable market conditions can remain in place in the short-term, but investors need to adjust to lower long-term visibility. Investment in longer-term investment themes can help cut through the uncertainty.

– Central bankers have no need to aggressively tighten policy to restrain inflation or leverage. Ongoing accommodative monetary policy should support global equities, where we are overweight in our tactical asset allocation.

– We add an overweight position in the Canadian dollar relative to the Australia dollar. The Canadian economy is recovering from a period of slow growth, while Australia is struggling with weak commodity prices.

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