UBS

21 February 2019: Good news, at a price

– The risk-return outlook remains favorable for further equity upside.

– The Fed’s more dovish stance is warranted by the softer macro environment at home, in Europe, and in China.

– On its own, quantitative tightening does not represent a primary and structural threat to asset prices.

– We optimize our downside equity protection and now hold an out-of-the-money S&P 500 put option and several relative value trades.

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