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Executive summary

Market context

Risk assets generated mixed to positive performance in June. The anticipated completion of a deal in the Middle East helped ease residual pressure in energy markets, further supporting equity markets. Markets remained focused on the AI-driven theme, although extended valuations and leveraged exposure to the sector weighed on market sentiment. The new US Federal Reserve Chair signaled more of a hawkish tone during his press conference, emphasizing the Fed’s continued focus on bringing inflation back toward its target range. The Dow Jones, S&P and NASDAQ posted mixed performance with the Dow Jones gaining 2.52%, while the S&P and NASDAQ fell -1.06% and -2.81%, respectively. European indices also generated mixed performance with the MSCI Europe and FTSE producing gains of 2.92% and 0.55%, respectively. Conversely, the DAX index fell -0.43%. Asian developed markets continued to outperform other regions, generating positive results with the Nikkei 225 generating a gain of 5.83%. Emerging market indices also produced mixed performance in June as Indian and Chinese markets rallied 2.28% and 0.63%, respectively. Brazilian markets eased -1.01%. In US interest rate markets, front-end rates rose modestly, while there was little movement in the back-end of the curve. The two-year US Treasury yield moved higher to 4.14% from 3.98%, while the ten-year US Treasury yield edged lower to 4.44% from 4.45%. The Barclays US Corporate Investment Grade Index rose 0.19%, while the Barclays US Corporate High Yield Index gained 0.27% as carry income drove results. Commodity prices were again broadly weaker as gold fell -12.1%, while oil declined -18.5% (WTI). In currency markets, the Euro fell -2.02% against the US Dollar to 1.1420 from 1.1655, while the US Dollar rose 2.09% against the Japanese Yen from 159.19 to 162.51.

Hedge fund highlights

Equity Hedge: Equity Hedged strategies generated broadly positive returns, with positive alpha contribution from the long book and continued strength in Asia despite late-month technology-led pressure.

Relative Value / Event Driven:: Relative Value strategies delivered positive returns, led by convertible bonds, fixed income RV and equity capital markets trades, while quantitative equity and merger arbitrage were weaker areas.

Credit / Income: Credit / Income strategies were positive overall, supported by traditional corporate long / short gains and steady carry contribution across asset-backed, agency and short duration private credit themes.

Trading / Macro: Trading strategies were mixed, as macro managers benefited from equity trading but were challenged by developed market front-end exposure and commodity losses in precious metals and energy.

Key takeaways for allocators

  • June reinforced the value of diversified hedge fund exposure, as most strategies contributed positively despite shifting market leadership.
  • Manager selection remained important, with performance dispersion visible across regions, sectors and sub-strategies.
  • Asia continued to stand out as a source of relative strength, while crowded AI / technology exposure introduced late-month volatility.
  • Credit and carry-oriented strategies provided a steadier return profile, helping balance more directional equity and macro exposures.

Performance snapshot (in %)

Index

26-Jun

26-May

26-Apr

QTD

YTD

1Y Annualized Return

3Y Annualized Return

5Y Annualized Return

10Y Annualized Return

10Y Volatility

MSCI World Total Return - Net USD

-0.72

4.55

9.59

13.76

9.69

21.34

19.24

11.47

13.14

14.89

FTSE US Broad Investment-Grade Bond Index

0.22

0.34

0.18

0.74

0.65

3.86

4.19

0.04

1.56

5.09

Barclays Global High Yield Index

0.2

0.7

2.58

3.5

2.14

7.15

10.64

4.24

5.36

8.23

Bloomberg Commodity Index Total Return

-8.54

-3.56

4.21

-8.08

14.36

25.46

11.69

9.37

5.83

13.87

ICE BofA Merrill Lynch 3-month T-Bill Total Return Index (G0O1)

0.29

0.3

0.29

0.89

1.74

3.84

4.64

3.52

2.34

2.02

HFRI Fund of Funds Composite Index

0.56

3.08

3.91

7.13

7.87

15.92

10.49

5.78

5.95

5.07

HFRI Equity Hedge (Total) Index

1.26

2.7

6.58

10.6

10.06

21.43

14.9

7.54

9.17

8.89

HFRI Event-Driven (Total) Index

1.23

2.07

4.07

7.29

6.8

13.64

11.92

6.63

7.5

7.01

HFRI ED: Credit Arbitrage Index

-1.38

1.63

2.52

2.41

0.96

5.7

8.66

5.97

6.77

6.67

HFRI Macro (Total) Index

-1.49

0.17

2.44

1.3

6.12

15.06

6.4

5.22

4.22

5.07

HFRI Macro: Systematic Diversified Index

-1.42

-0.45

2.89

1.49

9.05

17.67

2.94

3.63

2.5

7.65

HFRI Relative Value (Total) Index

0.25

0.6

1.25

2.05

3.77

7.96

8.15

5.43

5.4

4.2

Source returns: UGA - Hedge Funds, Bloomberg, Barclays (Lehman) Live, HFR. As of June 30, 2026. Historical performance indications and financial market scenarios are not reliable indicators of future performance. For information purposes only. No investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. This does not constitute a guarantee by UBS Asset Management.

Strategy performance

Bar chart showing year-to-date and month-to-date performance across hedge fund and traditional market indices as of June 30, 2026.
Source: UGA - Hedge Funds, Bloomberg, Barclays (Lehman) Live, HFR. For illustrative purpose only. As of June 30, 2026. Historical performance indications and financial market scenarios are not reliable indicators of future performance. Please note that the composition, methodology, and reported values of the HFRI Index are subject to periodic updates and revision by Hedge Fund Research, Inc.

Strategy performance as of June 30, 2026. Historical performance indications and financial market scenarios are not reliable indicators of future performance.

Monthly hedge fund review

Overall market commentary

June was a broadly positive month for the UGA – HF platform. Most strategies contributed positively to performance during the month. The deal to end the war in Iran provided additional support for the risk-on dynamic, as commodities, especially across the energy complex, declined sharply. The beta rally that began at the start of Q2 continued, although market leadership did shift during the month. The new US Federal Reserve Chair Warsh signaled a more hawkish tone, emphasizing bringing inflation back within the 2% target. Front-end yields retreated, while the longer end of the Treasury curve was more muted as the probability of an interest rate hike this year increased. Asian equity markets continued to outperform, while results across the US and Europe were more mixed. Overall, investor sentiment remained constructive, with positioning indicating broad risk exposure across client types.

Equity Hedged

HFRI Equity Hedge Total Index:

MTD 1.26% / QTD 10.60% / YTD 10.06%

Equity Hedged strategies generally produced positive returns in June. The steady easing of tensions in the Middle East supported a risk-on climate. Manager performance reflected greater dispersion given the shift in market leadership away from AI / technology sector. Amid factor rotations and varied performance at the manager level, overall alpha contribution was positive at the platform level, especially from the long side

Additionally, the decline in energy prices and the diminished expectations for rate cuts in the US resulted in headwinds for certain market sectors. Late in the month, weakness was pronounced across AI / technology sector following the SpaceX IPO, where hedge funds were seen to be notable sellers. Investor concerns also increased regarding memory related names and free cash flow visibility beyond this year for the hyperscalers.

Despite some rebalancing across portfolios, Asia continued to outperform other regions amid heightened volatility, especially Korea. Japan, Korea and China markets ended in positive territory despite volatility towards month-end. European managers’ performance was broadly positive and largely insulated from the technology-led selling pressure.

Relative Value

HFRI Relative Value Total Index:

MTD 0.25% / QTD 2.05% / YTD 3.77%

Relative Value strategies delivered positive performance in June. Quantitative equity strategies delivered overall negative results in what was an uneven performance for the first half of the year. Convertible bond strategies delivered positive returns, benefiting from increased IPO and merger activity which provided attractive opportunities. Additionally, those managers that were active in equity capital markets trades, notably index rebalancing (also a theme across some multi-strategy managers), saw outsized gains during the month.

Fixed income relative value strategies were modestly positive on the back of bond RV themes, while macro expressions were fairly quiet. Agency MBS strategies were mixed to positive due to carry income and limited prepayments. Lastly, merger arbitrage strategies were somewhat negative in June.

Credit / Income

HFRI ED: Credit Arbitrage Index

MTD -1.38% / QTD 2.41% / YTD 0.96%

Credit / Income strategies generally produced positive returns in June. Interest rate markets were again modestly weaker at the front end of the curve given the remarks from the US Federal Reserve on inflation. Otherwise, the change in interest rates was quite muted further out of the curve as well as relative to equities.

Traditional corporate long / short strategies contributed positively as long positions drove performance. Carry themes across asset-backed, agency and short duration private credit sub-strategies also contributed positively to performance. 

Trading

HFRI Macro Total Index:

MTD -1.49% / QTD 1.30% / YTD 6.12%

Trading strategies were mixed in June. Both developed and emerging market macro strategies were supported by equity trading but somewhat challenged by DM front end exposure. Inflation pressures challenged receiver and steepener positions outside of Japan.

Equities were a contributor, despite some tapering of momentum in Asian. Commodity strategies also produced mixed results. Strategies across rare earth metals and power trading were generally positive. Conversely, those managers with exposure to precious metals and / or energy were challenged as position unwinding continued in these sectors.

C-06/26 M-005872

Endnotes

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