China 2020 outlook: bonds, equities and the economy

Three expert views on prospects for China's economy in 2020 and 2021

06 Jan 2020

China 2020 outlook – in 60 seconds

  • China's economy is expected to grow 5.8% in 2020, compared with 6.1% in 2019, according to estimates by the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD);
  • We expect the People's Bank of China government to ease interest rates in H1 2020;
  • For equities, our strategies remain focused on long-term themes, like tech innovation and premiumization, and we see opportunities from SOE reform;
  • China fixed income continues to look attractive in a world of negative yield, and Chinese and Asian High Yield are bright spots if global bond markets;
  • Multi-asset strategies are tilted toward equities, particularly on China A markets, where companies will benefit from the Chinese government's ongoing policy support efforts.

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