And the winner is…

Read our strategists' predictions for the 2018 World Cup

13 Jun 2018

Germany, Brazil or Spain.

The likelihood of one of these three teams winning the World Cup is 60%, according to the UBS Chief Investment Office (CIO). With the tournament upon us, our global investment strategists have taken the modelling skills they use in their day job to predict the outcome.

Which soccer nation has the highest odds of winning? Which teams could cause an upset? Find out by exploring CIO's interactive webpage for the 2018 World Cup, which features:

  • CIO's projections for the tournament
  • Five games worth watching (regardless of your team affiliation)
  • The economic tools and statistical models CIO used to estimate likely outcomes

Learn more: Download the full report, "Investing and football (PDF, 2 MB)," to view the results of CIO's modeling exercise for all 32 participating teams. You'll gain perspective on:

  • What investors can learn from successful soccer teams
  • Factors that can make the tournament an economic success for the host nation
  • The potential opportunities of investing in Russia

Are you prepared to pursue what matters most in any environment? Together we can find an answer. Connect with your UBS Financial Advisor or find one.


Research from CIO GWM is provided by UBS Financial Services Inc. UBS Financial Services Incorporated of Puerto Rico is a subsidiary of UBS Financial Services Inc. In Canada, research from CIO GWM is provided by UBS Investment Management Canada Inc.

The views expressed in the research provided do not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, investment strategies, financial situation and needs of any specific individuals. They are based on numerous assumptions. Different assumptions could result in materially different results. We recommend that you obtain financial and/or tax advice as to the implications (including tax) prior to investing.

UBS Financial Services Inc. is registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) as an investment adviser and a broker-dealer. UBS Financial Services Incorporated of Puerto Rico is registered as a broker-dealer.

As a firm providing wealth management services to clients, we offer both investment advisory and brokerage services. Advisory services and brokerage services are separate and distinct, differ in material ways and are governed by different laws and separate contracts. It is important that you carefully read the agreements and disclosures UBS provides to you about the products or services offered. For more information, please visit our website at