A tale of two (risk) tails

UBS Global Risk Radar November 2018

12 Nov 2018
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At a glance.

  • We reflect on how 2018 has changed the global investment landscape, what risks lie ahead, and how investors can prepare for the future.
  • As markets start to show a more balanced attitude toward risk, we argue that investors too need to become increasingly mindful of potential upside scenarios.
  • CIO believes the current environment still favors an overweight position in equity markets, and that the recent sell-off marks a bull market correction rather than the beginning of a bear cycle. However, we also hold a number of counter-cyclical positions that should perform well if one of our downside scenarios were to materialize.

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