Outlook

27 Oktober 2017

We expect the global economic recovery to strengthen further, but geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty still pose risks to client sentiment. In particular, high asset prices, uncertainty over central bank balance sheet and interest rate policies, seasonality factors and the persistence of low volatility may continue to affect overall client activity. Low and negative interest rates, particularly in Switzerland and the eurozone, put pressure on net interest margins, which may be partly offset by the effect of a further normalization of US monetary policy. Implementing Switzerland’s new bank capital standards and further changes to national and international regulatory frameworks for banks will result in increased capital requirements, funding and operating costs. UBS is well positioned to mitigate these challenges and benefit from further improvements in market conditions.