Outlook

23 April 2018

We remain confident that global economic growth prospects will continue to provide a supportive backdrop to markets, even though geopolitical tensions and the rise of protectionism remain a threat to investor confidence.

All of UBS's businesses are affected by economic growth expectations, interest rates, equity market levels and foreign exchange rates. While higher compared with last year's historic lows, market volatility remains muted overall which is usually less conducive to client activity. Due to seasonal factors, second quarter transaction-based income in our Investment Bank and Global Wealth Management businesses is also typically lower than in the first quarter.

In the second quarter, funding costs related to long-term debt and capital instruments issued to comply with regulatory funding and liquidity requirements will be higher compared with the same period in 2017.

We continue to expect US dollar interest rates to rise gradually and the US economy to further improve, both of which will likely be supportive of US dollar net interest income. Momentum in our businesses is good, and we expect our results in the second quarter to provide further evidence of the strengths of our diversified business model, as well as our progress towards achieving our strategic and financial targets.