Outlook

2 February 2016

Many of the underlying macroeconomic challenges and geopolitical risks that have been highlighted in previous reporting remain and are unlikely to be resolved in the foreseeable future. Negative market performance and substantial market volatility since the start of 2016, low interest rates, and the relative strength of the Swiss franc, particularly against the euro, continue to present headwinds. In addition, the proposed changes to the Swiss too big to fail framework will cause substantial ongoing interest costs. Further changes to the international regulatory framework for banks will likely impose additional costs. We will continue to execute the measures we announced to mitigate these effects as we work toward our financial targets. We remain committed to our strategy and its disciplined execution in order to deliver sustainable returns to our shareholders.