Follow Curt Custard
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Sugar High
The markets seem to be racing around like a toddler that has had its way with a bowl full of candy. Central banks are responsible for putting the candy bowl in front of investors. More liquidity has been pushed into the system than ever before. Although candy tastes good, it is full of ‘empty’ calories, giving the child a ‘high’ for a few hours but unable to sustain the body for a longer period. Central banks run a huge risk with inflation expectations on the rise.
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2012: ‘Back to the Future’
The headlines that scroll endlessly across our screens are masking some glacial changes in the underlying markets, which involve the way investors perceive risks and returns. Here are six of the big-picture trends that could make the future of investing reminiscent of the 1970s.
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Endgame
Unfortunately, no politician was ever rewarded for preventing a crisis. Across the globe we are witnessing a crisis that must be resolved with bitter austerity sweetened by freshly printed money and fizzing with contentious transfers of wealth – a seasonal cocktail that I call ‘Endgame’.
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European summit verdict: not convinced
The eurozone must either break up or truly come together. Unfortunately, while the latest summit was a step in the right direction, it is not enough.
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Investing in 2012
Investing in 2012 is our flagship annual series surveying the world in the upcoming year for investors, covering both cyclical and long-term themes. This year, topics include sovereign wealth funds, active management of equities, the eurozone crisis, political leadership changes, environmental degradation, and the probability of a recession in 2012.
Investing in 2012
The inaugural edition of our annual series, looking at long-term investment developments with a focus on the coming year, draws primarily on the wealth of expertise in the Global Investment Solutions team.
It also includes contributions from other areas where UBS Global Asset Management offers world-class resources, such as real estate and sovereign wealth funds.
Click here
to read the full report.
Curt Custard in the media
Financial Times, July 31 2011
'Flawed' currency unions risk social instability
(FT.com subscription required)
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