Follow Dr. Andreas Höfert

Andreas Höfert is Chief Economist Wealth Management & Swiss Bank and the Global Head of Wealth Management Research.

 

As such he co-authors the Global Economic Perspectives publication with other members of the Global Economics team and appears regularly in Swiss and international media.

Andreas Höfert recently

  1. On European austerity

    Blog post | Tags: Andreas Höfert

    In recent weeks a subtle shift in how officials discuss current economic policy in Europe has become noticeable. At the start of the year the only possible solution for ailing economies, according to Brussels and Berlin, was even more austerity. The Italian elections, the spectacular increase in unemployment to record highs, forecasts that call for a second straight year of Eurozone GDP contraction, and friction between France and Germany that has become increasingly tense – all have conspired to put austerity in a less favorable light.

  2. The Japanese tradition of monetary experiments

    Blog post | Tags: Andreas Höfert

    The announcement by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) of its plan to double the monetary base and double its holdings of Japanese government bonds within the next two years to achieve a 2% inflation target has split economists. Some hail this policy, which has been dubbed 2222, as the long-awaited relief from the double decade of deflationary stagnation.

  3. Reinhart and Rogoff erred – so what?

    Blog post | Tags: Andreas Höfert

    Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff (R+R) are among the best known economists of the financial crisis. Their monumental 2009 book, This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly, has become a classic. Equally known, quoted and referenced also among policymakers is their American Economic Review article from 2010, “Growth in a Time of Debt.”

  4. A real alternative for Germany?

    Blog post | Tags: Andreas Höfert

    People in Southern Europe are not the only ones more and more antagonized by the euro. Also in Germany, anger and frustration against the common currency are getting louder. The latest irate expression has been the recent creation of an anti-euro party “Alternative for Germany” (AfD).

  5. Dominance and the “flation” debate

    Blog post | Tags: Andreas Höfert

    The debate about whether the ultimate outcome of the 2007-08 financial crisis will be deflationary depression or inflationary stagnation is ongoing. Empirical evidence won’t help us here. Some countries, especially in the European periphery, have GDPs well below where they were in 2007, unemployment rates over 20% and internal devaluation leading to deflation. Other countries, like the UK, are stagnating as inflation runs above the once-stated objectives of their central banks.

  6. On frustrated politicians and politics of frustration

    Blog post | Tags: Andreas Höfert

    Some years ago being a politician in Western democracies was a prestigious job: thrilling election campaigns, the formation of national policy in parliament or the ultimate prize of leading the country. Today, it seems the politician’s job boils down to frustration, as hands are more and more tied – as is especially true in Europe.

  7. Mario Draghi’s triple Cs

    Blog post | Tags: Andreas Höfert

    This is not about a new European credit rating but about Mario Draghi’s recipe to restore growth in the Eurozone, which is currently stagnating at best. At the beginning of the latest EU summit on March 14, which saw an unfortunate outcome for Cyprus, the ECB President and erstwhile professor of economics gave European leaders a crash course on the current economic misère of the Eurozone and ways to remedy it.

  8. Cyprus and European amateurs

    Blog post | Tags: Andreas Höfert

    As is now typical for Eurozone crises, an agreement on Cyprus was finally reached in the early hours of Monday – just hours before a self-imposed deadline. The agreement drastically shrinks the Cypriot banking sector and imposes capital controls on the Mediterranean island and may well induce a deep and prolonged recession.