• CIO Monthly

    UBS House View Financial market trends and their impact: Tracking contagion

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Market Overview Table
Symbol Last Time Trading Center
CAC 40 5113.46 [paris]
DAX 11424.43 [frankfurt]
Dow Jones 17613.26 [newyork]
EURO STOXX 3631.66 [zurich]
Hang Seng 24411.42 [hongkong]
NASDAQ 100 4588.04475 [newyork]
SMI 9464.55 [zurich]
DJ Stoxx 50 3453.19 [zurich]

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UBS House View Monthly Letter

23 July 2015: Tracking contagion

  • We apply a framework to assess the potential dangers to our investment positions when potential contagion risks arise.
  • The threat to markets from Grexit and the stock market turmoil in China are relatively modest.
  • Fed rate rises will have spillover effects, particularly for vulnerable emerging markets. But we do not expect a general increase in risk aversion.
  • We initiate an overweight position in Japanese equities relative to UK stocks. We also increase our Eurozone high yield bond overweight.

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