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Marcel Ospel & Peter Wuffli | |
Dear Shareholders,
This quarter’s results showcase the strength of
our asset gathering businesses. At a time when
securities markets are offering less attractive
trading returns, the fact that UBS has not only the
world’s leading wealth management operation,
but also one of the fastest growing, is crucial to
our ability to deliver top-class returns to you, our
shareholders.
Although our Investment Bank saw an anticipated
slowdown in trading opportunities, its
year-to-date performance is roughly 25% above
the same period a year ago – and almost three
times higher than in the first nine months of
2002. Elsewhere, the sheer scale of the assets
entrusted to us by our clients (which rose to CHF
2.3 trillion this quarter) has been a major driver,
producing, for example, the highest portfolio
management fees we have ever reported. In third
quarter, net new money for the firm as a whole
was CHF 20.5 billion. Wealthy individual clients
worldwide contributed CHF 16.7 billion; during
the first nine months of this year, our wealth
management businesses have gathered a total of
CHF 46.1 billion in new assets, at an annualized
growth rate of 5%. This leading rank in wealth
management is a privileged strategic position to
occupy, and we remain convinced that all our
global areas of focus – including the investment
banking, securities and asset management businesses
– will deliver above average growth opportunities
for UBS.
Before we look at our financial results in
more detail, we should mention that this quarter,
for the first time, they include the fully consolidated
results of Motor-Columbus, a Swiss
holding company whose only significant asset is
a majority ownership interest in Swiss-based
electricity provider Atel. Earlier this year, we
increased our stake in Motor-Columbus to
55.6% in order to protect the value of our existing
investment and put us in a stronger position,
as majority shareholder, to divest it profitably in
the future. In the meantime, the results of Motor-Columbus will be reported in a separate Industrial
Holdings segment, helping us to preserve full
continuity in the presentation of our core Financial
Businesses. This quarter, Motor-Columbus
contributed 1.0% to UBS’s overall net profit,
16.7% to operating income, and 20.6% to operating
expenses.
Net profit in third quarter was CHF 1,671 million.
Our Financial Businesses contributed
CHF 1,654 million and our Industrial Holdings
CHF 17 million. Low market activity and volatility
led to a drop in all trading-related revenues,
pushing the net profit of our Financial Businesses
down 2% compared to third quarter last year
and 16% compared to second quarter 2004. As a
major player in the world’s securities markets, we
accept that volatility in our Investment Bank’s
revenues will reflect prevailing market opportunities,
and we will not every quarter be able to
deliver the peak levels of trading performance we
saw earlier this year. All the more important,
then, that this element is balanced with strong fee
and commission revenues, which represent well
over 50% of our overall operating income. Our
earnings per share were CHF 1.86 (before goodwill
amortization) in third quarter 2004, down
from CHF 2.06 in second quarter 2004 but 7%
above the CHF 1.74 reported in third quarter
2003. Costs are well under control, falling 9%
from second quarter 2004 and 1% from third
quarter last year, driven by lower bonus accruals
– in line with the decline in revenues. Our
cost/income ratio of 71.5% (before goodwill) is
still near historically low levels and below the
72.2% recorded a year ago.
We use both add-on acquisitions and organic
growth to expand our core businesses. In
September, we announced the acquisition of
Charles Schwab SoundView Capital Markets,
the Capital Markets Division of Charles Schwab
Corp. – a deal that provides us with fresh expertise
and technology and reinforces our existing
activities by providing additional scale. This deal
will propel us to the front rank of NASDAQ
stock traders, complementing our top-tier position
on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
Our efforts to grow organically are also delivering
tangible results. Since its launch in 2001, our
European wealth management business has seen
inflows coming in at an average annual rate of
40%. Revenues hit a record level as client investments
rose to CHF 69 billion in third quarter.
We also continue to expand our wealth management
presence in Asia, with three new openings
this quarter. We officially inaugurated a
branch in Beijing on 2 August, marking a milestone
in our long-term strategy for China. A
month later, we re-entered the wealth management
market in Japan with an office in Tokyo,
and opened a new representative office in Kuala
Lumpur, Malaysia.
Our continuing efforts to build our brand
show how we deliver global financial resources
through personal client relationships based on
intimate understanding. We recently analyzed the
first results from our major advertising campaign
launched in March with the tagline “You & Us”.
We found that awareness of UBS is rising in all
regions, and is significantly higher in the US. Our
target clients are seeing and remembering our
advertising – an important step in building a distinct
profile in our highly competitive industry.
While these achievements are encouraging, brand
building does not provide instant returns and
does not only involve advertising. It is a long-term
commitment requiring that we introduce
more and more potential clients to the UBS way
of doing business, delivering on our promise of
pursuing their success above all.
As investors, you may have followed recent
changes in International Financial Reporting
Standards (IFRS). In 2005, two new accounting
standards will have a significant impact on our
financial results. First of all, IFRS will require us
to recognize the fair value of all equity-based
payments made to employees as compensation
expense – including options, which we currently
disclose on a pro-forma basis. Additionally, a
new standard governing business combinations
will lead to a new treatment for goodwill. From
2005 onwards, goodwill arising from acquisitions
will no longer be amortized, but tested
annually for impairment. The continuing evolution
of accounting standards creates a certain
degree of complexity for investors. On the other
hand, these developments are necessary to keep
pace with the changing nature of contemporary
business. Adoption of IFRS across the EU is an
important milestone. As more companies apply
these standards and provide constructive input
for further development, we hope for ever-increased
momentum towards a credible global
accounting language, providing more comparability
and transparency to investors.
Outlook – In the first nine months of 2004, market
conditions for our trading-related businesses
have swung considerably – from an exceptionally
favorable first quarter to the rather tough environment
in third quarter. Across these varied
conditions, our diversified business mix has paid
off, helping us to capture the revenue opportunities
when equity and fixed income markets were
buoyant, with our wealth and asset management
businesses giving us a counterbalance when trading
conditions started to normalize.
While global economic fundamentals look
rather positive, market participants are currently
unsure about how long the current growth will
last. This prevailing uncertainty continues to
weigh on financial markets. In the short term,
this may continue to dampen levels of investor
activity – an important driver for many of our
businesses. That said, it looks as though we will
be able to look back on 2004 as one of UBS’s best
years, and our focused strategy and success in
attracting new clients give us a great deal of confidence
for 2005 and beyond.