Operational risks can be caused by external factors,
deliberate, accidental and natural, or failures
of internal processes, people or systems.
They can unfortunately never be entirely eliminated.
Especially in todays environment of complex
global processes, low regulatory tolerance
for error, and high propensity for litigation, we
can expect operational risk to run alongside market
and credit risk as one of UBSs principal risk
classes. Our operational risk framework, into
which we are investing considerable management
time and effort, aims to contain the levels of risk,
and ensure we have sufficient information to
make informed decisions about additional or
adjusted controls.
As far as accounting for operational risks is
concerned, many potential loss situations are
identified before there is certainty as to the probability, timing or amount of future expenditure an uncertainty that requires the exercise of judgement.
It is best practice to make a provision of
the best estimate of a liability when it is probable
that a payment will be required, even if the
amount to be paid has not yet been exactly determined.
In second quarter 2004, we made, for
example, a provision covering an estimate for
additional US withholding tax costs relating to
gaps in our systems and processes which led to
incomplete client tax documentation in some of
our US operations. We continue to cooperate
with the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) in order
to arrive at a solution in this matter.
All provisions for operational risk established
at UBS are based on managements best estimates
and follow this practice. When any potential
operational risk is able to be quantified more
accurately, the corresponding provision is revised
up or down.